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finish related work

Phillip Rothenbeck 9 月之前
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共有 4 个文件被更改,包括 135 次插入10 次删除
  1. 71 4
      chapters/chap01-introduction/chap01-introduction.tex
  2. 6 6
      header.tex
  3. 19 0
      thesis.bbl
  4. 39 0
      thesis.bib

+ 71 - 4
chapters/chap01-introduction/chap01-introduction.tex

@@ -17,9 +17,76 @@
 \label{sec:relatedWork}
 In \emph{Forecasting Epidemics Through Nonparametric Estimation of
     Time-Dependent Transmission Rates Using the SEIR Model}~\cite{Smirnova2017},
-Smirnova \etal seek to find a stochastic method to estimate the time-dependend
-transmission rate $\beta(t)$, that on the contrary to earlier studies does not
-rely on parameters. They achieve this by projecting on a finite subspace, that
-is defined by Legendre polynomials.
+Smirnova \etal endeavor to identify a stochastic methodology for estimating the
+time-dependent transmission rate $\beta(t)$. This is in response to the
+limitations of earlier parametric estimation methods, which are prone
+instability due to the difficulty in identifying parameter finding and a low
+amount of available data. They achieve this by projecting the time-dependent
+transmission rate onto a finite subspace, that is defined by Legendre
+polynomials. Subsequently, they compare the three regularization techniques of
+variational (Tikhonov’s) regularization, truncated singular value decomposition
+(TSVD), and modified TSVD to ascertain the most reliable method for forecasting
+with limited data. Their findings indicate that modified TSVD provides the most
+stable forecasts on limited data, as demonstrated on both simulated data and
+real-world data from the 1918 influenza pandemic and the 2014-2015 Ebola
+epidemic.\\
+
+In their publication, entitled \emph{Data-driven approaches for predicting
+    spread of infectious diseases through DINNs: Disease Informed Neural Networks},
+Shaier \etal~\cite{Shaier2021} put forth a data-driven approach for identifying
+the parameters of epidemiological models. The authors apply physics-informed
+neural networks to the compartmental SIR models, and refer to their method as
+disease informed neural networks (DINN). In their work, they demonstrate the
+capacity of DINNs to forecast the trajectory of epidemics and pandemics. They
+underpin the efficacy of their approach by applying it to 11 diseases, that have
+previously been modeled, including examples such as COVID, HIV, Tuberculosis and
+Ebola. In their experiments they employ the SIDR (susceptible, infectious, dead,
+recovered) model. Finally, they present that this method is a robust and
+effective means of identifying the parameters of a SIR model.\\
+
+In their article \emph{A physics-informed neural network to model COVID-19
+    infection and hospitalization scenarios}, Berkhahn and Ehrhard~\cite{Berkhahn2022}
+employ the susceptible, vaccinated, infectious, hospitalized and removed (SVIHR)
+model. They solve the system of differential equations inherent to the SVIHR
+model by the means of PINNs. The authors utilize a dataset of German COVID-19
+data, covering the time span from the inceptions of the outbreak to the end of
+2021. The proposed PINN methodology initially estimates the SVIHR model
+parameters and subsequently forecasts the data. For comparative purposes,
+Berkhahn and Ehrhard employ the method of non-standard finite differences (NSFD)
+as well. In the validation process, the two forecasting methods project the
+trajectory of COVID-19 from mid-April onwards. Berkhahn and Ehrhard find that
+the PINN is able to adapt to varying vaccination rates and emerging variants.\\
+
+In their work, \emph{Data-Driven Deep-Learning Algorithm for Asymptomatic
+    COVID-19 Model with Varying Mitigation Measures and Transmission Rate},
+Olumoyin \etal~\cite{Olumoyin2021} employ an alternative methodology for
+identifying the time-dependent transmission rate of an asymptomatic-SIR model.
+On the premise that not all the infectious individuals are reported and included
+in the data available. The algorithm they introduce, utilizes the cumulative and
+daily reported infection cases and symptomatic recovered cases, to demonstrate
+the effect of different mitigation measures and to ascertain the size of the
+part of non-symptomatic individuals in the total number of infective individuals
+and the proportion of asymptomatic recovered individuals. With this they can
+illustrate the influence of vaccination and a set non-pharmaceutical mitigation
+methods on the transmission of COVID-19 on data from Italy, South Korea, the
+United Kingdom, and the United States.\\
+
+In \emph{A Physics-Informed Neural Network approach for compartmental
+    epidemiological models} Millevoi \etal~\cite{Millevoi2023} address the issue
+of describing the dynamically changing transmission rate, which is influenced by
+the emergence of new variants or the implementation of non-pharmaceutical
+measures. They employ a PINN to maintain an account of the changes of the
+transmission rate included in the reproduction number and to approximate the
+model state variables. To this end, Millevoi \etal employ the reproduction
+number to reduce the system of differential equations to a single equation and
+introduce a reduced-split version of the PINN, which initially trains on the
+data and then trains to minimize the residual of the ODE. They test their
+approach on five synthetic and two real-world scenarios from the early stages of
+the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy. This method yields an increase in both accuracy
+and training speed.
+
+
+
+
 
 % -------------------------------------------------------------------

+ 6 - 6
header.tex

@@ -21,11 +21,11 @@
 
 \usepackage{array}
 \usepackage[
-    plainpages=false,
-    pdfpagelayout=TwoPageRight,
-    pdfborder={0 0 0},
-    hyperfootnotes=false
-  ]{hyperref}
+  plainpages=false,
+  pdfpagelayout=TwoPageRight,
+  pdfborder={0 0 0},
+  hyperfootnotes=false
+]{hyperref}
 
 \usepackage{longtable} % for tables larger than one page
 \usepackage{pdflscape} % for pages in landscape format
@@ -45,4 +45,4 @@
 \usepackage{cleveref}
 \usepackage{todonotes}
 \usepackage{nicefrac}
-
+\usepackage{longtable}

+ 19 - 0
thesis.bbl

@@ -12,6 +12,16 @@
 \newblock \emph{Infectious diseases of humans : dynamics and control}.
 \newblock Oxford University Press, 1991
 
+\bibitem[BE22]{Berkhahn2022}
+\textsc{Berkhahn}, Sarah ; \textsc{Ehrhardt}, Matthias:
+\newblock A physics-informed neural network to model COVID-19 infection and
+  hospitalization scenarios.
+\newblock {In: }\emph{Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models} 2022 (2022),
+  Oktober, Nr. 1.
+\newblock \url{http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s13662-022-03733-5}. --
+\newblock DOI 10.1186/s13662--022--03733--5. --
+\newblock ISSN 2731--4235
+
 \bibitem[Dem21]{Demtroeder2021}
 \textsc{Demtröder}, Wolfgang:
 \newblock \emph{Lehrbuch}. Bd.~1: {\emph{Experimentalphysik 1}}.
@@ -86,6 +96,15 @@
 \newblock \url{http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/ARXIV.2311.09944}. --
 \newblock DOI 10.48550/ARXIV.2311.09944
 
+\bibitem[OKF21]{Olumoyin2021}
+\textsc{Olumoyin}, K.~D. ; \textsc{Khaliq}, A. Q.~M.  ; \textsc{Furati}, K.~M.:
+\newblock Data-Driven Deep-Learning Algorithm for Asymptomatic COVID-19 Model
+  with Varying Mitigation Measures and Transmission Rate.
+\newblock {In: }\emph{Epidemiologia} 2 (2021), September, Nr. 4, S. 471--489.
+\newblock \url{http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/epidemiologia2040033}. --
+\newblock DOI 10.3390/epidemiologia2040033. --
+\newblock ISSN 2673--3986
+
 \bibitem[Oks00]{Oksendal2000}
 \textsc{Oksendal}, Bernt:
 \newblock \emph{Stochastic Differential Equations}.

+ 39 - 0
thesis.bib

@@ -255,4 +255,43 @@
   publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
 }
 
+@Article{Berkhahn2022,
+  author    = {Berkhahn, Sarah and Ehrhardt, Matthias},
+  journal   = {Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models},
+  title     = {A physics-informed neural network to model COVID-19 infection and hospitalization scenarios},
+  year      = {2022},
+  issn      = {2731-4235},
+  month     = oct,
+  number    = {1},
+  volume    = {2022},
+  doi       = {10.1186/s13662-022-03733-5},
+  publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},
+}
+
+@Article{Long2021,
+  author    = {Long, Jie and Khaliq, A. Q. M. and Furati, K. M.},
+  journal   = {International Journal of Computer Mathematics},
+  title     = {Identification and prediction of time-varying parameters of COVID-19 model: a data-driven deep learning approach},
+  year      = {2021},
+  issn      = {1029-0265},
+  month     = may,
+  pages     = {1--16},
+  doi       = {10.1080/00207160.2021.1929942},
+  publisher = {Informa UK Limited},
+}
+
+@Article{Olumoyin2021,
+  author    = {Olumoyin, K. D. and Khaliq, A. Q. M. and Furati, K. M.},
+  journal   = {Epidemiologia},
+  title     = {Data-Driven Deep-Learning Algorithm for Asymptomatic COVID-19 Model with Varying Mitigation Measures and Transmission Rate},
+  year      = {2021},
+  issn      = {2673-3986},
+  month     = sep,
+  number    = {4},
+  pages     = {471--489},
+  volume    = {2},
+  doi       = {10.3390/epidemiologia2040033},
+  publisher = {MDPI AG},
+}
+
 @Comment{jabref-meta: databaseType:bibtex;}